<p>As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended March 3, NET LENGTH in USD Index droped -2 589 contracts to 22 488. Speculative long positions fell -7 880 contracts and short positions declined -5 291 contracts. Bets on both sides obviously shrank as the Fed adopted emergency rate cut by […]
AUD/NZD Forecasting The Path Lower
<p>In this blog, we are going to take a look at the Elliottwave chart of AUDNZD. The chart below from March 3 update shows that the cycle from November 8, 2019 high unfolded as 5 waves impulsive structure. The move down in wave (A) ended at 1.0304 low. Based on Elliottwave theory, a 3 waves […]
CAD And NOK Biggest Losers As Oil Price Crashed
<p>Oil price crashed more than 30% and reached a low of $27 earlier this week. OPEC’s failure to agree on further production cuts and Saudi Arabia/Russia price war has driven crude oil to the low last seen in January 2016. Commodity currencies such as Canadian Dollar (CAD) and Norwegian Krone (NOK), which are oil-sensitive, were […]
EUR/CHF: Euro Swissy Soon To End Correcting The 2015 Cycle
<p>Here, I am going to take a look on weekly and daily charts of Euro Swissy $EURCHF. In a quiet natural way, this cross is a ratio of two pairs: $EURUSD and $USDCHF. In weekly time frame, the pair $EURCHF shows a strong positive correlation to $USDCHF which is currently turning up. We expect the […]
Canada Retail Sales About to Get a Lot Worse
<p>Retail sales increased 0.4% in January Soft start to 2020 will get much worse as containment measures kick in That retail sales edged up 0.4% in January will carry little or no weight in markets or from policymakers given the dramatic shock to come. The January numbers themselves were not particularly strong – excluding prices, [
Central Banks Fighting Back
<p>It’s been another incredible week in the markets but one that at least looks likely to end on a positive note, with stock markets making decent gains for a second day. This isn’t enough to put the week into the green but we’re not far away and there’s still time. It’s also far to early […]
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Uncertainty of Novel Coronavirus Continued to Support Safe Haven Currencies
<p>Novel coronavirus has shown no signs of abating. The latest statistics indicate that the number of confirmed cases has increased to above 30 000 and casualty to over 800 in China. The epidemic has affected at least 28 countries in the world. Against this backdrop, safe-haven currencies outperformed risky ones. As suggested in the CFTC [&he
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Weak Economic Developments in Eurozone Drove Euro Lower
<p>Weakness in Eurozone’s economic data has led traders to trim bets on higher euro but raise short bets for further decline. As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended February 11, NET LENGTH in USD Index gained +2 353 contracts to 19 486. Speculative long positions soared +11 750 contracts […]
Haunted by Domestic Weakness and Coronavirus Uncertainty, Euro’s Weakness is Set to Continue
<p>Currently trading at 1.083 against USD, lowest since April 2017, the single currency has plunged -2.4% in the first half of February. This follows a -1% decline in January. Disappointing economic data, renewed speculations on further rate cut by ECB and intensified global uncertainty as driven by coronavirus outbreak originated in China ar
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Traders Continued to Bet Lower EUR on Disappointing Economic Data
<p>As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended February 18, NET LENGTH in USD Index gained +4 742 contracts to 24 228. Speculative long positions dropped -1 314 contracts and short positions dropped -6 056 contracts. Concerning European currencies, NET SHORT for EUR futures increased +5 838 contracts to 91 [&helli