<p>The virus pandemic continues to wreak havoc on the global economy and financial markets. Stocks are in freefall, commodity currencies are getting hammered, and even safe havens like gold can’t shine as the market meltdown is forcing major funds to deleverage by ‘selling everything’. In this panicky environment, investors are unlikely to pa
The Big Picture: Global Fiscal and Monetary Responses to COVID-19
<p>Since our last update on Wednesday morningof global fiscal and monetary policy responses to the spread of COVID-19, we have seen a few notable developments: In Europe, more fiscal policy packages have been announced by countries and existing packages been fortified. Spain unveiled a EUR117bn – 9% of GDP – package (with private investment s
Large Bounce in AUD/USD, But is it Enough?
<p>Earlier this week, The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) had an emergency monetary policy meeting, in which they cut interest rates a record low of 25bps. In addition, the RBA announced the start of their own quantitative easing program. The government also put together a fiscal stimulus plan of nearly $10 billion dollars. However, that [
Week Ahead – Tougher Times Ahead?
<p>Country UK The UK is not taking the coronavirus lightly, despite initial criticism against the government to the contrary. The number of cases now stands at 3,983 with 177 deaths, a significant acceleration on a day earlier. Much darker days lie ahead but both the government and Bank of England have announced huge fiscal and […]
Oil Market Week Ahead: Hunkering Down
<p>Next week will bring an ample amount of economic indicators but for the oil market the most serious ones will be information on the spread of the coronavirus. As the number of cases on both sides of the Atlantic are rising and the UK, Europe, and some US states are beginning to lockdown, one way […]
Week Ahead: The Wheels are in Motion
<p>Last week can be summed up as “the week global governments saved the world economy”, in the wake of the economic fallout of the coronavirus. Global central banks continued to slash interest rates and provide liquidity through QE and extension of credit lines. Individual governments stepped up to the plate and passed massive amounts of [&
The Weekly Bottom Line: Policy Bazookas on Display
<p>U.S. Highlights Markets continued to see losses this week as the COVID-19 outbreak intensified. Investors made a dash for cash, resulting in tightening financial conditions. The Fed reacted quickly, cutting the target range of the federal funds rate by a full percentage point to 0% to 0.25% as well as pledging to buy $700 billion […
EUR/CHF: Euro Swissy Soon To End Correcting The 2015 Cycle
<p>Here, I am going to take a look on weekly and daily charts of Euro Swissy $EURCHF. In a quiet natural way, this cross is a ratio of two pairs: $EURUSD and $USDCHF. In weekly time frame, the pair $EURCHF shows a strong positive correlation to $USDCHF which is currently turning up. We expect the […]
Canada Retail Sales About to Get a Lot Worse
<p>Retail sales increased 0.4% in January Soft start to 2020 will get much worse as containment measures kick in That retail sales edged up 0.4% in January will carry little or no weight in markets or from policymakers given the dramatic shock to come. The January numbers themselves were not particularly strong – excluding prices, [
Central Banks Fighting Back
<p>It’s been another incredible week in the markets but one that at least looks likely to end on a positive note, with stock markets making decent gains for a second day. This isn’t enough to put the week into the green but we’re not far away and there’s still time. It’s also far to early […]