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Blogs
ECB: GDP to trough at -15%, foreign demand to drop -19% in severe coronavirus scenario
<p>In ECB’s bulletin published two, three scenarios of the economic impact of coronavirus pandemic are presented. In the severe scenario, GDP contraction could trough by -15% in Q2. Foreign demand could contract -19% this year, without returning to pre 2019 level until end of 2022. In the mild scenario, strict lockdown is relatively sho
UK PMI manufacturing finalized at 32.6, production, new orders, employment, new exports all at record lows
<p>UK PMI Manufacturing was finalized at 32.6 in April, down from March’s 47.8. Markit said that “manufacturing production, new orders and employment all contracted at the fastest rates in the 28-year survey history”. Also, the coronavirus pandemic “hit overseas demand, leading to a series-record drop in new export bus
Australia AiG manufacturing dropped to 35.8 as unusual surge for manufactured food and groceries subsided
<p>Australia AiG Performance of Manufacturing Index dropped sharply by -17.9 pts to 35.8 in April. That’s the largest monthly decline on record, and suggests that manufacturing contracted at its worst pace since April 2009. The sharp positive spike in March was more than reversed “as the unusual surge in demand for manufactured fo
BoJ minutes: Uncertain whether economy would recover strongly after coronavirus pandemic
<p>In the minutes of BoJ’s March 16 meeting, members agreed there had been “significant uncertainties” over the coronavirus outbreak, “over the size and the persistence” of the economic impact. One member warned that the impact could be “significant and not just temporary”. One member said the downtur
Japan PMI manufacturing finalized at 41.9, suggests output dropped -15% annualized
<p>Japan PMI Manufacturing was finalized at 41.9 in April, down from March’s 44.8, hitting an eleven-year low. Markit said plummeting demand led to further sharp production cutbacks. Supply chain disruptions intensified as coronavirus pandemic continued. Manufacturing employment fell at strongest rate since mid-2009. Joe Hayes, Economis
Japan Nishimura to avoid deflation return as Tokyo core CPI turned negative
<p>Released from Japan, Tokyo all-items CPI slowed to 0.2% in April, down from 0.4% yoy. Core CPI (all items less fresh food) turned negative to -0.1% yoy, down from 0.4% yoy. Core-Core CPI (all items less fresh food and energy) dropped to 0.2% yoy, down from 0.7% yoy. The capital city reported first decline in […]
Aussie Turns Lower as Markets Reversing April’s Moves
<p>Australian Dollar is leading commodity currencies broadly lower in Asian session today, as markets seem to be rushing to reverse April’s moves. Euro has somewhat taken the lead overnight, pulling Swiss Franc higher too, after initial reactions to non-eventful ECB. Yen is also trading generally lower in relatively quiet markets. With
EUR/USD Bullish Break Kick Starts Reversal To 1.13?
<p>Meta: EUR/USD is breaking the counter trend resistance lines for a potential bullish reversal. The bullish breakout could confirm a wave C (purple). Dear traders, the EUR/USD is breaking the counter trend resistance lines (dotted red) for a potential bullish reversal. The bullish breakout could confirm a wave C (purple). The EUR/USD needs
What A Strange Week
<p>Sentiment has taken a bit of a knock at the end of the trading week, as many stock exchanges around the world close is observance of Labor Day. It’s been a very strange week in all honest. We rallied early on ahead of some huge earnings results and central bank meetings, as investors swerved the […]