BOE's Dhingra: I'm not worried about cutting rates too early being the worst thing to do

We took a a long time to get rates upCouple that with the transmission lags, we're still looking at a pretty restrictive period of monetary policy even after you start the moderationFairly convinced that falling prices are not solely driven by energy aloneAt this point, about 97% of annual CPI inflation items have turned downFall in retail sales is pretty convincing and unexpectedNot fully convinced of sharp excess demand in the economy from the consumption sideDoes not see a reason to trade off weak consumption when inflation is on a sustainable path at this pointIf you do the right policy and if you even deviate for the right reasons, people will understandDhingra was the only one to vote for a 25 bps rate cut at the latest policy meeting here. She's saying that she is convinced of a continued decline in inflation and considering the state of consumption activity, a rate cut would be appropriate now. She argues that even with cutting rates early, monetary policy will still be restrictive. This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

BOE's Dhingra: I'm not worried about cutting rates too early being the worst thing to do
  • We took a a long time to get rates up
  • Couple that with the transmission lags, we're still looking at a pretty restrictive period of monetary policy even after you start the moderation
  • Fairly convinced that falling prices are not solely driven by energy alone
  • At this point, about 97% of annual CPI inflation items have turned down
  • Fall in retail sales is pretty convincing and unexpected
  • Not fully convinced of sharp excess demand in the economy from the consumption side
  • Does not see a reason to trade off weak consumption when inflation is on a sustainable path at this point
  • If you do the right policy and if you even deviate for the right reasons, people will understand

Dhingra was the only one to vote for a 25 bps rate cut at the latest policy meeting here. She's saying that she is convinced of a continued decline in inflation and considering the state of consumption activity, a rate cut would be appropriate now. She argues that even with cutting rates early, monetary policy will still be restrictive.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.